this post was submitted on 28 Apr 2025
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50% of all published papers in Psychology are not reproducible ...
ssssh
The replication crisis is real, but I'm going to give some pushback on the "ssssh" like it's some kind of conspiracy "they" don't want you to know about(TM). We live in an era of unprecedented and extremely dangerous anti-intellectualism, and pushing this as some kind of conspiracy is honestly really gross.
EDIT: I just noticed that they also got their facts wrong in a subtle but meaningful way: the statistic is that 50% of the published papers aren't replicable, not reproducible. Reproducibility is taking an existing dataset and using it to reach the same conclusions. For example, if I have a dataset of 500 pictures of tires and publish "Tires: Are they mostly round and black?" in Tireology, claiming based on the dataset that tires are usually round and black, then I would hope that Scientist B. couldn't take that same dataset of 500 tire pictures and come to the conclusion that they're usually square and blue. However, replication would be if Scientist B. got their own new dataset of say 800 tire pictures and attempted to reach my same findings. If they found from this dataset that tires are usually square and blue but found from my dataset that they're usually round and black, then my results would be reproducible but not replicable. If Scientist B. got the same results as me from the new dataset, then my results would be replicable, but it wouldn't say anything about reproducibility. Here, a lack of replication might come from taking too narrow a sample of tires (I found the tires by camping out in a McDonald's parking lot in Norfolk, Nebraska over the course of a weekend), that I published my findings in 1985 but that 40 years later tires really have changed, that there was some issue with how I took the pictures, etc.
I don't consider Psychology to be a scientific discipline - I belong to the hard sciences crowd.
My wife is a psychologist.
I wonder if she regrets her marriage, or if she's trying to fix you.
Hey, maybe it's both!