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Update on Texas flooding: climate change almost certainly played a role
(www.theclimatebrink.com)
this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
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I have some thoughts on that river, which I visited often and heard the stories.
It always floods, and there are always drownings. One would think from reading the headlines that it’s a very tame river which did this surprising thing.
And it was a particularly bad storm, at a bad time of night, on a bad date ( the holiday) and climate change made it worse and/or more probable.
But places on that river have always flash flooded. And the water has raised that much before, that fast. And looking back, it has sometimes flooded at night during holidays.
The only difference is that more people now live there than before; more camps and buildings were allowed to be set up in bottom lands, in the flash flood areas . And more people, new to the area, were ignorant of its dangers.
Its also the case that this kind of sudden intense rain is more likely in a warmer world, and that local and state politicians were unwilling to either restrict development in the floodplain, or even set up the kind of warning system which would let people evacuate
Yes, all three, it’s a slow creep that can catch people unawares