this post was submitted on 27 Oct 2025
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What's the figure, I think it's something like 80% of individual investors end up losing money?
There is no way that's true, unless they are including inflation. You could throw darts or read charts like a crystal ball and have better than a 50% chance of making money unless you mess with derivatives.
I totally believe a dart board would outperform the average individual investor. As would just holding diversified positions and not touching them.
Which I think is what the average investor does, to be fair. I think we mean "active" investor and/or day-trader here.
That's what I was trying to clarify. Someone who randomly picks stocks and sits on them would more than likely beat doing nothing.
Once you start getting into day trading now you have to beat transaction and tax friction and you don't get the benefit of the market raising all boats because you aren't holding it long enough to matter.