this post was submitted on 20 May 2025
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Russia has moved to classify key demographic statistics following a dramatic collapse in its birth rate, which has plunged to levels not seen since the late 18th or early 19th century, according to a leading Russian demographer.

For decades, Russia has been experiencing a plunging birth rate and population decline, which appears to have worsened amid its ongoing invasion of Ukraine—with high casualty rates and men fleeing the country to avoid being conscripted to fight.

Projections estimate that Russia's population will fall to about 132 million in the next two decades. The United Nations has predicted that in a worst-case scenario, by the start of the next century, Russia's population could almost halve to 83 million.

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[–] rammer@sopuli.xyz 12 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Population will fall to about 132 million in the next two decades

Which means that it already is that low. If you don't count the parts of Ukraine that Russia thinks it owns and the hundreds of thousands of young people who fled the country earlier in the war.

[–] Ledericas@lemm.ee 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

it was 144mil a couple years ago.

[–] Valmond@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago (7 children)

2-3 millions are dead or have fled for what I know.

But a birthrate at 1.5? That's bad news, 0.6 lower than the replacement level (2.1) so every new generation will be 30% smaller!

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[–] Goldholz@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 1 day ago

Aaah yes "Smakalka"

[–] drhodl@lemmy.world 31 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Even russian women don't like russians.

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[–] DarrinBrunner@lemmy.world 17 points 1 day ago (4 children)

If AI and robots will take over so many jobs, why is a declining birthrate a bad thing, in the long term?

[–] GenosseFlosse@feddit.org 19 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Because current society is built on the assumption that around 4 workers will support 1 person with social benefits like retirement money, healtcare or unemployment benefits. Robots are already used in many factories but don't pay any of those. The robots will produce goods cheaper than humans, however corporations will own the robots, and still charge you the same price for the goods while receiving a larger margin.

[–] theolodis@feddit.org 8 points 1 day ago

So.... you're saying that.... capitalism is the problem???

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[–] psycho_driver@lemmy.world 21 points 1 day ago

No one wants their children to grow up in a corrupt Oligarchy.

[–] ExtremeDullard@lemmy.sdf.org 32 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

It's the Russian resistance's long game: in 10 years, there won't be enough young people left to send to die at the front, so the war will naturally peter out.

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