this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2023
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No Stupid Questions

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[–] halfelfhalfreindeer@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

It depends on the growth curve. Right now it's exponential, which means it will keep growing. When you see it stay linear for a while, it'll probably start to flatten. At that point, it's either big enough to stick or it's not.

[–] RBWells@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

I'm here to stay, and Reddit was my only social media before. But was on that site so many years and it did get shitter over time. Lemmy isn't overrun yet, it's nice.

[–] Schlomocucumber@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

I would like to think this is my new home, but I still have a lot of learning to do about the fediverse. I won't be going back to Reddit and using their garbage app and site, but I also still need to learn how to maneuver this new land before it can be a true alternative for me

[–] HorseFD@lemmy.buzz 2 points 2 years ago

I think it will grow some more when apps stop working on July 1, especially lemmy.world.

After that, we’ll see how erratic and Musk-esque the reddit leadership becomes.

I belive that enough critical mass has been reached for Lemmy to stick around. I sure as hell am not going back to reddit. But, to see Lemmy grow, I feel it would be better for users to be spread out across multiple instance.

[–] Emperor@feddit.uk 2 points 2 years ago

We'll have to wait and see but I think this last issue with Reddit has given Lemmy enough of a boost that it will get the required amount of momentum.

It won't be long before a lot of the classic subs are reproduced over here and new users will be able to turn up and slot straight in and carry on doing what they were doing over there all pretty seamlessly.

It would be interesting to know what percentage of the most active posters made the jump as they are likely providing a much higher percentage of the content than the average user. It's those people that will really make a difference.

I also think having Fediverse alternatives to so much corporate social media and how well it cooperates with each other is also key. I am busy moving myself over to these services and I am liking what I see. It will always occupy a layer under the corporate one but that might be a good thing - like them act as the bullet magnet and let us just get in with things.

[–] pannacotta__@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Maybe, but I think that the branding of the "fediverse" + difficulty of use will make it unlikely to surpass reddit or any other alternatives. It will almost certainly still be around for years to come, but I doubt it'll be much more than niche, despite me hoping for the contrary.

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[–] TheSpookiestUser@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

It all depends on if Reddit continues to make decisions with disastrous optics. If this is the one and only user bump Lemmy will get off the back of Reddit, I can see it dying down in the future, but if there's more I think it'll take flight and eventually start snowballing on its own merits. I'm not sure if it'll ever be mainstream, but it'll persist - as it was before all this.

[–] Ipodjockey@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

Either way I'm done with reddit.

[–] aski3252@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

Lemmy isn't going to "die" anytime soon, it has already been around for about 4 years now, it's not going anywhere..

Maybe activity will significantly slow down, maybe it will go back to being a super small community, but I don't see it completely getting killed anytime soon.

[–] burretploof@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

While I plan on using this platform for the forseeable future - I don't have too high hopes.

I think it will probably go the way Mastodon is going. A few weeks of being "hot", then dropping off until it's pretty much business as usual, as it was before being the hot new thing. Don't get me wrong, I want Lemmy to succeed and replace reddit, but I wouldn't bet money on it.

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[–] Aceticon@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

It won't die in "a few weeks", simply because the likelihood of everybody abandoning ship in such a short timeframe is pretty much zero.

It will almost certainly become irrelevant after some years (we just don't know how many) because almost nothing remains relevant on the Net for more than a decade or two, though even "irrelevant" things still attract a few people so they rarelly "die".

Edit: Also and as a side note, I've actually been questioning just how many people needs to be around here for it to be a good place to be in. I don't think the "millions" of people of Reddit actually added to it and suspect that a few tens of thousand of users are enough for the place to feel interesting to be in and participate in, except perhaps in very obscure and niche subjects were you do need millions of people around for there to be a handful that are interested in such subjects.

[–] FreddyNO@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

I'm staying

[–] doppelgangmember@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Reddit is dead to me now. Terrible media players. Bulky unoptomized Javascript in browser. Slow load times. Just trash content now.

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[–] Anitabath097@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago (7 children)

Lemmy is really the only solution because it is becoming as indepth as reddit is/was. What sucks is it will still be like a splinternet situation, having to spread all of our solutions across the internet.

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[–] Gleddified@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 years ago (2 children)

I'm ride or die once my 3PA stops working, so I hope it sticks around.

Gotta say, it would be more attractive if every other post wasn't a meta post about the platform and/or reddit. I hope we get some bots capable of ripping reddit posts and slapping them into Lemmy communities. As much as I'd like to pretend I'm a man of culture, sometimes I want shitposts and Tiktok reposts of someone's dog being stupid...

[–] Sterben@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

I think it is just momentary, as it is the topic of the moment. Give it some time and we will forget about reddit. ☺️😅

[–] Bazoogle@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

That's funny, because I am quite interested in the meta reddit posts. It's interesting to see how things are unfolding. Though I do think it will of course settle down with time

[–] Zrob@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

This site gives me reddit in 2011 vibes. Loving it

[–] paulie420@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

It all depends on us. I hope for more servers that FEDERATE - I'm trying hard to cut /r/ out of my life... if we do that, lemmy and the fediverse can live on... Will you?

pAULIE42o

[–] daniskarma@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

Mastodon is there. And there are enough people to interact with. Not as big as Twitter by any means, but for now it's big enough to use if you find a good Community.

Lemmy would be similar, for now won't even come close to reddit size. But if good communities move here those would stick around.

[–] ellesper@lemmy.world 2 points 2 years ago

Lemmy has been around for quite a while, well before any of the recent issues. The userbase will probably die back once people get bored and go back to Reddit but some of us will still be here

[–] Vanthia@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Seeing a post like this with over 100 comments makes me think that it's going to last, but scrolling down and seeing 25+ posts in a row with zero comments concerns me. It could be a federation/Jerboa/other issue though, I'm still not 100% on everything works and connects, plus I imagine the sudden rapid growth is hurting it for now but that should settle eventually

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[–] potoo22@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I just edit bombed my reddit account. No going back... Unless reddit undos my edits... Which apparently they're undeleting comments, so it's a possibility. I'll just do it again.

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[–] kratoz29@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago (3 children)

I don't think Lemmy would die even if Spez gets fired and they write a public apology for the users inconvenience and step back with the API changes....

I for sure am here to stay!

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[–] indy@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago

I intend to be here for the long run, and I don’t think I’m alone in that mentality.

[–] SJ_Zero@lemmy.fbxl.net 1 points 2 years ago

It existed for years before reddit had its issue.

On the other side of the fediverse that's more like Twitter, Elon Musk pissed a bunch of people off and we've seen a few waves of new users. How it has worked is there's an inrush of people, some people go "Wait a minute, this isn't my old platform! I don't like it!" and go back, some people stick around.

Once people start to realize how friggin' cool the fediverse as a whole is, I think a bunch of people stay. Especially realizing that it takes all power away from corporate overlords and gives a lot of power to people who run their own instances.

[–] WrenofDelpan@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago

I think its community has grown permanently. It just depends how much of who's here is part of that growth. When the dust settles, I bet people will go back to reddit or somewhere else. But when that time comes, who will be part of the remnants? 50% of us? More? Less? I have no idea.

I think an important step in pumping that percentage up is to stop asking about this. Every day seemingly dozens of people ask this same question about Lemmy's future. This might be pessimistic, but at this point I'm beginning to think many people are either expecting or hoping for Lemmy to fail.

[–] Call_Me_Maple@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

I sure as hell hope so. After everything that's happened over at Reddit I don't feel like going back. I'm not one to come back to an abusive relationship ya know? So like yeah I hope Lemmy lasts it seems to hold up well against the Sands of time at the very least, if it lasts as long as Reddit and things go south instead of having to jump ship, you can just migrate servers. Plus, at least at this point in time, there have been no red flags, all we need is for the userbase to participate.

Edit: Typo

[–] halfelfhalfreindeer@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago

If that happens I'm going to see it as an opportunity to go no-social media for a year. I've done this with other things, for example not buying clothes for a year, and my habits have changed permanently with each exercise. I'm convinced that if you can do it for a year, it starts to become part of the fabric of who you are, and if that's preferable you're unlikely to backslide.

[–] Waitwuhtt@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago

The protest brought me here but I'm staying because I like it more.

[–] RexKev@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago

As long as Instances don't defederate other instances over petty issues , this should go strong.

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