this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2025
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Unlikely, they're happy with their result.
It's however possible that the conservatives will run the Austrian playbook. Talks with the social democrats fail, "we have a responsibility to Germany to form a government", then make a coalition with the AfD (Nazis).
Back to your original question: the BSW will likely contest the elections, as they have missed the 5% threshold by only ~14k votes and there are evident irregularities. For example, many Germans living abroad, for example those living in the US, had almost no chance to cast their vote.
That feels familiar somehow.
Very unlikely. A coalition with the AfD is rejected by 85% of CDU voters. Merz has many times unequivocally rejected a coalition with the AfD.
The only irregularity is voters abroad having received their mail in ballots too late. That was caused by the short timeframe to prepare the early elections. If that qualifies as a problem will be decided by the courts.
It only adds up to 48%. The other parties would band together to make 52%.
Nope, you have to compare seats won, not percentages. Conservatives + Nazis would be 360 seats of 630 total, creating a majority.