this post was submitted on 08 Mar 2025
172 points (97.8% liked)
Technology
64937 readers
4042 users here now
This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.
Our Rules
- Follow the lemmy.world rules.
- Only tech related content.
- Be excellent to each other!
- Mod approved content bots can post up to 10 articles per day.
- Threads asking for personal tech support may be deleted.
- Politics threads may be removed.
- No memes allowed as posts, OK to post as comments.
- Only approved bots from the list below, to ask if your bot can be added please contact us.
- Check for duplicates before posting, duplicates may be removed
- Accounts 7 days and younger will have their posts automatically removed.
Approved Bots
founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
Define "quite a while"
Sure, enterprise is likely to make the switch first, but it's also likely to kick start the price reduction to consumers. So I actually don't think it's that far away. I would guess we are like 5 years away from SSDs being the significant majority of consumer storage technology by volume.
Even now, as a self hoster it's pretty reasonable to have SSDs if you are talking about single digit TB. Sure SSDs are about 2x the price, but we are talking about a difference of like 60 USD if you only need 2 TB.
Based on current trends, I'd say we might get SSDs and HDDs at the same cost per GB around 2030. That's based on prices being 12-13x higher in 2015, and around 5x higher now. SSD cost efficiencies are slowing down, but there will also be a big change in demand once the prices get close, because SSDs have other advantages people will switch as soon as it's economical.
I've currently got a 200TB storage array using enterprise HDDs (shout out to Backblaze's HDD failure rate publications), and I definitely would not have been able to afford 200TB of enterprise SSDs.
Yeah, for anything over 10TB for an individual consumer it will take time.