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A leading AI contrarian says he's been proved right that LLMs and scaling won't lead to AGI, and the AI bubble is about to burst. (garymarcus.substack.com)

submitted 1 day ago by Lugh@futurology.today to c/futurology@futurology.today

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[–] knightly@pawb.social 73 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Any real utility they might have had is wholly overshadowed by the massive capital overinvestment and shoehorning it into everything by folks grifting on that overpromise.

[–] PattyMcB@lemmy.world 19 points 1 day ago

Absolutely. AI in everything is counterproductive, especially if it's bad, or if it has nothing to do with the function of the system into which it's shoehorned.

[–] DScratch@sh.itjust.works 12 points 1 day ago

And the environmental impact of training and running llms, just so I can ask GPT why my code no work?!

[–] Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world 0 points 1 day ago

Capital over investment then crash is just how capitalism rolls. It's been that way forever.

The Internet had over investment and a crash in 2000. Game consoles, and home computers before that. Decades ago when I was looking into more office space for my ISP, the real estate agent talked about how the Internet was the latest bubble in a long chain of tech bubbles he had seen. He talked about the minicomputer bubble from the late 1960's.

Even in the sub market of AI there have been hypes and crashes like neural nets from 30 years ago. Today voice recognition and image to text is in everything yet no one complains, "Why is AI shoe horned into my camera app?" It's because it is no longer seen as AI, but a feature.