Never going to happen while we still have FPTP, at least not the way you think it will. What would really happen, is this new party would split the Democratic vote, and the Republicans would win even harder. You have to get rid of FPTP before any 3rd party will be a realistic possibility. Until then it would just make things even worse.

[–] kablammy@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

For President sure, but if say GOP got 45% of house, Dems 35%, party X 20%, surely Dems and X can hold majority and speakership together (and vote the same way on a lot of things), or does GOP get speakership because they have the highest single party vote?

[–] suicidaleggroll@lemm.ee 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

You’re assuming the democrats and this new party would vote the same for SotH and all important bills, in which case what’s the point of this new party? Also most states use FPTP for congressional elections as well, so while democrats and this third party would likely still win some seats, in most locations they would again split the vote and you’d end up with even more GOP congressional representatives than you have now. So it wouldn’t be 45/35/20 GOP/dem/X, it would be more like 80/15/5. That’s just the nature of how FPTP works.