this post was submitted on 24 May 2025
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It’s basically a philosophy paper—epistemology, to be specific.
Frequentism and Bayesianism are philosophies of understanding probability and statistics, and this paper argues that Bayesianism provides a more clear understanding of truth.
To summarize their main points: P-values and confidence intervals and their ilk are confusing to the uninitiated and initiated alike, so their use should be discouraged. Undergraduates shouldn’t even be taught them since they confuse most people, causing public harm. All frequentist statistics at this level should be purged from education and replaced with Bayesian statistics.