this post was submitted on 25 May 2025
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Stage 19: Bielle โ Champoluc, 166 km (Friday 30, dep. 12:20-12:30, ETA 16:55-17:35)
Mountain stage with many long climbs.
Stage with high difficulties, 15 points to the winner.
The 3 km rule applies for falls/incidents in the finish.
Delays: 16% if โค 30 km/h; 17% if โค 34 km/h; 18% otherwise. Expected average speeds: 33 km/h โ 51'41'', 35 km/h โ 51'30'', 37 km/h โ 58'06''.
If I am not mistaken, this stage grants a maximum of 147 mountain points, and the next one 80 points. That's 227 points. Fortunato (๐ฎ๐น Astana) has got 355 points, his teammate Scaroni๐ฎ๐น 161, and the first non-Astana only 66. Therefore Fortunato has an advance of 289 points over the first non-Astana , which is already enough to ensure that the Blue Jersey will go to Astana.
For points classification, Pedersen (๐ฉ๐ฐ Lidl-Trek) is 141 points ahead of Kooij. There are still 152 points for grab in theory, but that would require Kooij (๐ณ๐ฑ Visma) to win the 2 mountain stages on top of the final one and all the intermediate sprints (without Pedersen scoring more than a handful). ๐ So the Cyclamen Jersey will go to Pedersen.
The intermediate sprints classification, the Red Bull KM sprints classification, and the breakaway classification are still undecided.
'Queen' stages provide the best naps in the world. ๐ด ๐คฃ