this post was submitted on 05 Jul 2025
        
      
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Sagan won that finish so i wouldn't be shocked if Girmay is still there at the end. He looked fresh today i think.
In the end it's probably dependent on how Pog rides the Stage. If he goes really hard already on the second to last climb trying to force a move, all the GC have to follow and it gets to fast for anyone but VDP. Bettingwise i like Vauquelin for 51:1.
I'm getting Critérium de Dauphiné stage 1 vibes from this profile. I could see this being Pog, Vingegaard, MvdP, Evenepoel, Skjelmose, Van Aert territory.
In the Dauphiné they only needed a small 300 meter hill to get away from everyone, and this is a much harder stage.
On another note, my family and I went to this part of France a couple of years back and loved it. I had the most amazing seafood platter with a lovely glass of muscadet in Boulogne-sur-Mer.
Not sure if they can do something against top punchers, but we should see the French trio from the Tour of Switzerland (Vauquelin, Grégoire, Alaphilippe) attempting to do it, anyway.
Alaphilippe prepared for this stage, but unfortunately he's been a bit ill for a couple of days and was already struggling yesterday.