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Gambler's fallacy (the belief if an event has occurred less frequently than expected, it is more likely to happen again in the future) (en.wikipedia.org)

submitted 1 month ago by dantheclamman@lemmy.world to c/wikipedia@lemmy.world

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[–] mienshao@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

While I understand this logic, I hate it and reject it. If I flip a coin 20 times in a row on heads, bitch I don’t care what you say there’s gotta be a higher chance of tails next flip. WHAT DO YOU MEAN IT’S STILL 50/50 CHANCE?!?? I JUST FLIPPED HEADS 20 TIMES IN A FUCKING ROW!!

[–] bitfucker@programming.dev 1 points 1 month ago

3Blue1Brown always puts it best. There are 2 ways to do statistics. The usual / frequentist, and bayesian / belief model.

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