While I understand this logic, I hate it and reject it. If I flip a coin 20 times in a row on heads, bitch I don’t care what you say there’s gotta be a higher chance of tails next flip. WHAT DO YOU MEAN IT’S STILL 50/50 CHANCE?!?? I JUST FLIPPED HEADS 20 TIMES IN A FUCKING ROW!!
this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2025
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Well, you would want to inspect the coin and confirm it wasn't biased. The fallacy is no longer fallacious if every flip is not in fact independent!
3Blue1Brown always puts it best. There are 2 ways to do statistics. The usual / frequentist, and bayesian / belief model.