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'No evidence' found yet of ties between Charlie Kirk's shooting and left-wing groups, officials say (www.nbcnews.com)

submitted 3 weeks ago by IndustryStandard@lemmy.world to c/progressivepolitics@lemmy.world

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The federal investigation into the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk has yet to find a link between the alleged shooter, 22-year-old Tyler Robinson, and left-wing groups on which President Donald Trump and his administration have pledged to crack down after the killing, three sources familiar with the probe told NBC News.

One person familiar with the federal investigation said that “thus far, there is no evidence connecting the suspect with any left-wing groups.”

“Every indication so far is that this was one guy who did one really bad thing because he found Kirk’s ideology personally offensive,” this person continued.

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[–] Alexstarfire@lemmy.world 3 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

I can do basic math and tell you that it's not over 95%, though it isn't far off. With ~50 from left wing even if the rest was right wing, you'd need a total of over 1k, which there isn't.

[–] ObtuseDoorFrame@lemmy.zip 12 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

I should've said "over 90%" because this adds up to 93%. You felt the need to leave this comment and make me break out a calculator over 2%? There was another study that showed right-wing at 97% which is where I got that "over 95%." I wrongly assumed this study was the same one that was posted yesterday.

[–] Alexstarfire@lemmy.world 0 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Yes, since it was pretty obviously wrong. I didn't do the calculation.

[–] ObtuseDoorFrame@lemmy.zip 7 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

"I can do basic math" and "it was pretty obviously wrong" are goofy things to say if you didn't do the calculation in the first place, lol.

[–] Alexstarfire@lemmy.world 5 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (2 children)

Not really. For it to be less than 5% the total has to be a least 20x. You don't need exact numbers to see the total isn't close to 1k.

Nothing is actually calculated unless you want to count adding 3+2+2+1+1, rounding the big categories up. And 50x20, now that I think about it.

[–] ObtuseDoorFrame@lemmy.zip 0 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Neat trick! It's always nice to find someone online who's more autistic than I am : )

[–] Alexstarfire@lemmy.world 3 points 3 weeks ago

Ehh, probably more a habit because of my job, software developer. We generally don't care about specific amounts. We care about orders of magnitude. So it's usually just very rough estimates.

Believe it or not, we sometimes have trainings to help teach people how to do estimates for things that are basically unknowable. Like, how many steps every participant in a race took (think Boston Marathon), or how many doors are in a city.