this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2025
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Inference is what's primarily driving demand. Training uses massive energy, but is a one-time use per model (for now). Inference is ongoing and scales with demand and model complexity. As demand has kept on climbing, and model complexity has too, inference energy demands are far more than training over time. That's true even with big effenciency gains in models.
I don't disagree, but your statement that there will be huge demand for inference compute doesn't necessarily imply that we need to worry about compute centers buildout for that, because inference consumes much lower resources than training and most of the compute center buildout we're seeing out there is for training, not inference.
In aggregate? Sure. But unlike training compute, it doesn't need to be centralized/colocated and it's way more energy efficient. If you were just making a case that we need more compute overall, I'd agree, I'd even say it's near consensus. But that's not what this legislation discussion is about. The subject here is power-hungry training infrastructure.
That was true a couple of years ago, but inference is the primary driver of data center build out now and expected to only increase over coming years. It's true that Inference is cheap per token, and a lot of inference will move to the edge, but there will be even more demand for centralized compute to take the place of that with more complex and demanding models which can't run on edge devices.
Hmm maybe I'm not up to speed with latest developments then, but that sounds plausible.
It's what makes it such a critical need. Canadian companies, individuals, public services etc will all have a growing demand for inference and it will still largely be coming from centralized servers. If we are not serving that demand domestically and under Canadian regulations, we will be creating huge new vulnerabilities via foreign dependencies. Even despite us not training top models domestically, a lot of demand could be served from domestic use of open models in data centers under Canadian domestic control, including running domestically tuned models and agent swarms that demand tonnes of inference. It's a serious strategic need that requires national strategic planning, talent development, regulation, and funding.