03/09 Stage 1 | Altrincham - Manchester (161.6 km) KOOIJ Olav
04/09 Stage 2 | Wrexham - Wrexham (109.9 km)
05/09 Stage 3 | Goole - Beverley (154.7 km)
06/09 Stage 4 | Sherwood Forest - Newark-on-Trent (166.6 km)
07/09 Stage 5 | Felixstowe - Felixstowe (192.4 km)
08/09 Stage 6 | Southend-on-Sea - Harlow (146.2 km)
09/09 Stage 7 | Tewkesbury - Gloucester (170.9 km)
10/09 Stage 8 | Margam Country Park - Caerphilly (166.8 km)
Another sprint stage on day 2 - I'm thinking Kooij is the favourite for this one as well, if they're not going to try for van Aert due to bonus seconds. The only real alternative seems to be Bennet, mainly because of van Poppel as a leadout.
There are no bonus seconds on offer, so that makes the decision easier.
Other than that, your assessment seems pretty accurate.