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Fear of getting caught in progress or after criminal behaviour is literally THE factor for not doing crime. Everyone is capable of crime regardless of how well socialised we are. We either have no good reason to do crime, restrain our criminal "urge" or are at least unconsciously scared of getting caught. The intensity of punishment is not helping to deter crime. The chance of getting caught however is by far the largest deterrent.
I actually disagree, because they're a deterrant. "They show up after it happens" is an argument that could be applied to any deterrant, so it's obviously a bad argument. Police are a problem for other reasons than that they literally don't prevent any crime.
It's probably accurate to say that police create more crime than they prevent
Postponed, supressed or relocated potentially but not prevented and when crimes are postponed or supressed as such the desperation increases resulting in more violent and destructive crimes.
The only way to prevent crime is to deal with the conditions that cause it.
I have seen the way people drive if there are no consequences for driving terribly and dangerously. I assure you it cannot be fixed with just speed/red light cameras, speed bumps, and social programs. (And honestly, cameras and especially speed bumps just make the road worse for everyone)