Architeuthis

joined 2 years ago
[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

i think yud at some point claimed this (preventing the robot devil from developing alignment countermeasures) as a reason his EA bankrolled think tanks don't really publish any papers, but my brain is too spongy to currently verify, as it was probably just some tweet.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 10 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (9 children)

I don't think him having previously done undefined PR work for companies that include alleged AI startups is the smoking gun that mastopost is presenting it as.

Going through a Zitron long form article and leaving with the impression that he's playing favorites between AI companies seems like a major failure of reading comprehension.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 8 points 1 month ago

It's adorable how they let the alignment people still think they matter.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 7 points 2 months ago

Should be noted that it's mutual, Hanania has gone to great lengths to suck up to siskind, going back to at least the designer mouth bacteria thing.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 9 points 2 months ago

And GPT-4.5 is terrible for coding, relatively speaking, with an October 2023 knowledge cutoff that may leave out knowledge about updates to development frameworks.

This is in no way specific to GPT4.5 but remains a weirdly undermentioned albatross about the neck of the entire LLM code-guessing field, probably because the less you know about what you told it to generate the likelier you are to think it's doing a good job, and the enthusiastically satisfied customer reviews in social media that I've interacted with certainly seemed to skew toward less-you-know types.

Even when the up-to-date version release happened before the cut-off point you are probably out of luck, since the newer version is likely way underrepresented in the training data compared to the previous versions that people may have been using for years by that point.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 10 points 2 months ago

Nothing in my experience with LLMs or my reading of the literature has ever led me to believe that prompting one to numerically rate something and treating the result as meaningful would be a productive use of someone's time.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 5 points 2 months ago

Still occasionally think about that bit in the o1 white paper where the openai researchers innocuously pose the question of what if our benchmarks for detecting hallucinations are shit actually, wouldn't that be something.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 10 points 2 months ago

Implicitly assuming that the technology to terraform Mars is just around the corner is the we'll become profitable once we hit AGI of space exploration.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 13 points 2 months ago (15 children)

In todays ACX comment spotlight, Elon-anons urge each other to trust the plan:

image textJust had a weird thought. Say you're an eccentric almost-trillionare, richest person in history. You have a boyhood dream you cannot shake: get to Mars. As much as you've accomplished, this goal still eludes you. You come to the conclusion that only a nation-state -- one of the big ones -- can accomplish this.

Wouldn't co-opting a superpower nation-state be your next move?

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 9 points 2 months ago

Could also be don't worry about deepseek type messaging that addresses concerns without naming names, to tell us that a drastic reduction in infrastructure costs was foretold by the writing of St Moore and was thus always inevitable on the way to immanentizing the AGI, ἀλληλούϊα.

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 12 points 2 months ago

It’s like you founded a combination of an employment office and a cult temple, where the job seekers aren’t expected or required to join the cult, but the rites are still performed in the waiting room in public view.

chef's kiss

[–] Architeuthis@awful.systems 7 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

The surface claim seems to be the opposite, he says that because of Moore's law AI rates will soon be at least 10x cheaper and because of Mercury in retrograde this will cause usage to increase muchly. I read that as meaning we should expect to see chatbots pushed in even more places they shouldn't be even though their capabilities have already stagnated as per observation one.

  1. The cost to use a given level of AI falls about 10x every 12 months, and lower prices lead to much more use. You can see this in the token cost from GPT-4 in early 2023 to GPT-4o in mid-2024, where the price per token dropped about 150x in that time period. Moore’s law changed the world at 2x every 18 months; this is unbelievably stronger.
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