this post was submitted on 13 Aug 2024
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  • Ukrainian forces launched a surprise offensive into Russia's Kursk region last Tuesday.
  • They have captured around 1,000 square kilometers of Russian land so far, Kyiv's top general said.
  • That figure is almost as much territory as Russia has seized in Ukraine this year.
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[–] mox@lemmy.sdf.org 119 points 6 months ago (4 children)

This bit seems relevant, given that Ukraine's stated intention has always been reclaiming their own land:

The overall goal of the incursion is not immediately clear. Conflict analysts have suggested that Ukraine may be trying to alleviate some pressure on its forces elsewhere along the sprawling front line, gain leverage for potential territorial negotiations with Russia, or even just humiliate Moscow and boost morale in Kyiv.

[–] worldwidewave@lemmy.world 41 points 6 months ago (2 children)

That, or “reclaiming their own land” was a bit more expansive than we all realized /s

[–] Deceptichum@quokk.au 26 points 6 months ago

Technically Earth is the native land of all Ukrainians.

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[–] fuckingkangaroos@lemm.ee 10 points 6 months ago

They're doing all three of those, and also may be effectively flanking the Kremlin's defense along that part of the front.

[–] Serinus@lemmy.world 9 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I've heard Kursk has the gas pipeline to Europe.

[–] TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee 22 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Had.

The Ukrainians overran it and disabled it. It won't be working for a very long time.

[–] where_am_i@sh.itjust.works 13 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Good. Fuck Hungary, and one up for the climate change.

Ukraine doing more for the EU than the entire EU parliament.

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[–] angrystego@lemmy.world 90 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Time for denazification of Russia.

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[–] cosmicrookie@lemmy.world 89 points 6 months ago (1 children)

So... Ukraine is capturing Russia as fast as Russia initially expected to capture Ukraine.

[–] Pete90@feddit.org 39 points 6 months ago

It would be absolutely hilarious, if the whole thing wasn't so sad. Nevertheless, it's a welcome change of direction in this war and shows what a determined country and army can do against such a big aggressor.

I just hope it actually changes something in the end. Let's hope Putler meets his window to fall out of soon.

[–] T00l_shed@lemmy.world 83 points 6 months ago (1 children)
[–] margaritox@lemmy.world 33 points 6 months ago

Heroyam Slava 🇺🇦

[–] nl4real@lemmy.world 74 points 6 months ago

Zelenskyy went from being a comedian to clowning on Putin in only a few years.

[–] theacharnian@lemmy.ca 72 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Logistics is king folks, remember that.

[–] Kyrgizion@lemmy.world 48 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I'm sure access to Western intelligence doesn't hurt either.

[–] TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world 48 points 6 months ago (1 children)

And having competent generals.

Even as we speak, one of the few good and well respected Russian generals who dared speak out at the poor leadership of the general staff, had been arrested for supposed fraud. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-arrested-general-ivan-popov-fraud-d8c4d6a7d447ff801b3f15bc540f77b6

[–] BatrickPateman@lemmy.world 16 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I approve. The more idiots are in charge wasting what little offensive capabilities Russia has left the better for Ukraine.

Is there a list of more competent people, I mean fraudsters? Russian authorities can sure need some anonymous tips, right?

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[–] rustydomino@lemmy.world 18 points 6 months ago

I forget who said it, but an American general once said "Amateurs discuss tactics; professionals discuss logistics."

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[–] FlyingSquid@lemmy.world 64 points 6 months ago (1 children)

East Ukraine sounds like it might be a nice place one day.

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[–] Reality_Suit@lemmy.one 60 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Here's to Ukraine becoming the capital of the larger Ukrainian Federation that will be needed after the fall of Russia.

[–] unemployedclaquer@sopuli.xyz 23 points 6 months ago

I mean, fuck Putin, but don't delude yourself that this will get easier

[–] rottingleaf@lemmy.world 19 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Why in the world would you want to create a new iteration of the same shit?

[–] Reality_Suit@lemmy.one 15 points 6 months ago (3 children)

What do you mean? Ukraine is not Russia. The corruption of Ukraine is from Putler placed politicians.

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 15 points 6 months ago (5 children)

I think the point is no one really wants any country to have that much territory it just causes problems, especially when large parts of it are not really productive. It just results in a very large population and an enormous burden on the government.

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[–] p5yk0t1km1r4ge@lemmy.world 32 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Is this the timeline where Ukraine kills Putin and puts his head on a Pike? Find out next time on dragon ball z!

[–] Plopp@lemmy.world 12 points 6 months ago (1 children)

What did the fish do to deserve that?

[–] SkaveRat@discuss.tchncs.de 8 points 6 months ago

It knows what it did

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 29 points 6 months ago (1 children)

Maybe they should just swap countries and be done with it.

[–] TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee 37 points 6 months ago (1 children)

I'd much rather it all become Ukraine. They are better people.

[–] v4ld1z@lemmy.zip 8 points 6 months ago (1 children)
[–] TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee 7 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Ласкаво просимо! Слава Україні!

I hope DDG translate did a good enough job lol

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[–] Jumi@lemmy.world 22 points 6 months ago (7 children)

I still wonder what their main objective is

[–] suzune@ani.social 83 points 6 months ago (3 children)

To disperse the army from the northeastern fronts. Russia is now forced to defend the entire border and cannot focus their attacks on their previous objectives.

This is a good move.

[–] Eximius@lemmy.world 30 points 6 months ago (1 children)

That, and they can potentially dismantle staging areas for planes and other infrastructure (in this case gas pipeline).

[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod@lemmy.world 11 points 6 months ago

Both of those, and they force engagements with Russia to force them to throw men and materiel at it, further depleting Russian stockpiles.

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[–] rottingleaf@lemmy.world 28 points 6 months ago

Leverage for negotiations.

Their gains would be much less for the same expense, were they in areas where Russia expects to be attacked.

It's the same pattern with bullies - they are always surprised when the victim is no longer forbidden to hit everywhere and not only where the bully took initiative.

Worked in Artsakh in 90's too against Soviet and Azeri forces. Sadly the last few years (or two decades) have undone this largely.

But just like in Artsakh, they shouldn't agree to any frozen status, or it will end just like for Artsakh. They should just keep advancing until Russia does something to guarantee their security.

[–] Shard@lemmy.world 25 points 6 months ago (5 children)

I hope its not just for negotiating.

I hope by breaking the Russian front, they have created openings that they can now exploit to tear down Russian defenses.

Russia has created a really difficult frontal defense thats many layers of mine fields and defensive positions interlaced. But now their sides and backs are exposed and it's much easier for Ukraine to out flank the defense and unseat Russian defenses.

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[–] HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world 25 points 6 months ago

In my completely unresearched opinion?

"We just kept advancing, and it just kept working".

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[–] Bapanada@discuss.tchncs.de 10 points 6 months ago

So sad Vlad

[–] FauxPseudo@lemmy.world 9 points 6 months ago (2 children)

Does Ukraine get an exception from the general advice against invading Russia? Winter is coming. But they kinda have some advantages over prior attempts.

[–] Fades@lemmy.world 8 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Yes they do get an exception because they are just as familiar to the climate as the orcs. It's not like Kursk et al has proper defenses RUs can hole up inside. The orcs literally just lost the Kursk battallian HQ building lol (forgive the leddit link)

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[–] jerkface@lemmy.ca 7 points 6 months ago (3 children)

Is this a real thing? I only hear news about it on a couple niche youtube channels that I am not sure aren't propaganda. Searching "Ukraine" on Lemmy for the last week yields a very small number of results. I haven't heard word one about it from my mainstream sources. What the fuck? Is there an embargo on this or something??

[–] lennybird@lemmy.world 12 points 6 months ago

That's not the impression I've been getting. This has been covered extensively from places ranging from BBC and Telegraph to PBS, and numerous reddit subs. I haven't seen this much activity centered on Ukraine in a while.

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[–] nednobbins@lemm.ee 7 points 6 months ago (6 children)

I've been looking for some sort of analysis of this Kursk incursion but have come up empty handed. I'm looking for something along the lines of Markus Reisner's analyses.

In particular, I'm wondering what the likely paths are to altering the course of the war.

How likely is it that Ukraine will be able to hold this territory? Will they be able to use it as a staging area to launch additional attacks?

Is it likely to alter the artillery equation? Russia currently fires 3-5 times as many artillery shells as Ukraine does. Does this do something like limiting their production rates or their ability to deliver ordinance to the front lines?

Is it likely that Ukraine killed or captured enough Russian troops to impact the broader war?

A phrase like, "That figure is almost as much territory as Russia has seized in Ukraine this year." kind of implies that there has been a shift in the momentum of the war and that we can expect such announcements more regularly going forward. Is that actually likely?

My pessimistic guess is that this was a brilliant tactical move that will ultimately get steamrolled by Russia's sheer mass, but I'd love to read an analysis from someone with more expertise.

[–] tilefan@lemm.ee 7 points 6 months ago (3 children)

this has to be something designed to pull forces away from other places. I don't think Ukraine is planning on holding it for any length of time.

we saw video come out about 200 miles from the front in Kursk showing military transport trucks that had been struck by Ukraine as they were going to reinforce the region, which means Ukraine has dedicated deep strike capabilities to this part of the battlefield.

I think the intention is to kill and destroy as much Russian personnel and materiel as they can while it's being transported. like they've mapped out all of the travel lines in to and out of Kursk, and they have dedicated weapons platforms prepared to destroy anything that comes up those roads. they'll be able to blitz a whole bunch of Russian equipment without even having to engage them on the ground, if those trucks were full (there were stacked bodies in the video), that's 300 casualties without having to put any of your infantry in danger.

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